Nothing Can Go Wrong - A Preview to Cinema 2007
Short post. Little details.
For those of you who are not as nerdy as me to pick out statistical nonsense and business trends in the world of Hollywood (or rather the US box office in general), here's what's been happening.
From forever till 2004 (with some odd years in between here and there), the movie industry generally has been making alot and alot alot alot alot and alot of money, and most of the time the total box office for the year goes up and up every year (esp with ticket prices inflating and all that stuff)...
So anyway, year 2005 turned out to be a massive recession (almost a depression) for cinema people. Now, when we talk about big money, let's forget the indie films okay, it's the blockbusters that make or break the industry financially. So for every week leading up to the summer months, 2005 loses out to 2004 with week by week comparisons. Many big movies fumbled... Many big movies lost money (ie. Kingdom of Heaven, King Arthur, The Island... bla bla. I can count with my fingers how many big budget films made money that summer...)
So Star Wars came out. It made big money. But it couldn't save the box office because the other 9 films in the top ten didn't make any money.
Then Batman Begins came out. It made less money than Star Wars, but a lot of money anyway. But it couldn't save the box office because Star Wars was fizzling by then and the rest of the top 10 didn't make any money.
Then War of the Worlds came out and raked in so much money you would think "Spielberg saved the day" but oh my, no, the combined efforts of Star Wars, Batman and War of the Worlds couldn't quite save the film economy... Talk about heavyweight failure.
The surprise hero that year turned out to be Fantastic Four. It was a pretty dumb show that didn't make quite a lot of money, but it made enough money to finally record a higher earning than the comparative weekend in 2004.
So 2005, bad year.
2006. There were less blockbuster failures, and things generally were better than 2004. But it still sucks. The superhero efforts of V for Vendetta, Superman Returns and X3 did their thing, but most analysts agree that had Pirates of the Carribean not make 450 million bucks, it would've in fact, be just as bad as 2004. So, oh no again, cinema is still in recession.
I'm not gonna talk about why box office receipts are going down, but here's a look at how 2007 is going to be the year that Cinema starts making money again - Big Time.
We have
Transformers - All the men in the world will rally together to make this film the no.1 for 2 to 3 weeks. Cult classic-comic coming alive. What could possibly go wrong? 300 million bucks in the bag.
Spiderman 3 - The first two films were industry records. Both exceeded 400million bucks. And it'll probably battle it out with Pirates 3 for the highest grosser of the year!
Pirates of the Carribean: At World's End - The previous movie was at some point favored to topple Titanic (it didn't, but at least it gave a decent try), so this film is a 400 million dollar lock.
And we've got Stardust and Beowulf and Shrek 3 (another big money kick butt show)
and most importantly, if all else fails... we have...
Fantastic Four: The Rise of the Silver Surfer ( I can imagine the headlines... 'FF4 saves the box office AGAIN"
*
Next year is going to be a good year.
For those of you who are not as nerdy as me to pick out statistical nonsense and business trends in the world of Hollywood (or rather the US box office in general), here's what's been happening.
From forever till 2004 (with some odd years in between here and there), the movie industry generally has been making alot and alot alot alot alot and alot of money, and most of the time the total box office for the year goes up and up every year (esp with ticket prices inflating and all that stuff)...
So anyway, year 2005 turned out to be a massive recession (almost a depression) for cinema people. Now, when we talk about big money, let's forget the indie films okay, it's the blockbusters that make or break the industry financially. So for every week leading up to the summer months, 2005 loses out to 2004 with week by week comparisons. Many big movies fumbled... Many big movies lost money (ie. Kingdom of Heaven, King Arthur, The Island... bla bla. I can count with my fingers how many big budget films made money that summer...)
So Star Wars came out. It made big money. But it couldn't save the box office because the other 9 films in the top ten didn't make any money.
Then Batman Begins came out. It made less money than Star Wars, but a lot of money anyway. But it couldn't save the box office because Star Wars was fizzling by then and the rest of the top 10 didn't make any money.
Then War of the Worlds came out and raked in so much money you would think "Spielberg saved the day" but oh my, no, the combined efforts of Star Wars, Batman and War of the Worlds couldn't quite save the film economy... Talk about heavyweight failure.
The surprise hero that year turned out to be Fantastic Four. It was a pretty dumb show that didn't make quite a lot of money, but it made enough money to finally record a higher earning than the comparative weekend in 2004.
So 2005, bad year.
2006. There were less blockbuster failures, and things generally were better than 2004. But it still sucks. The superhero efforts of V for Vendetta, Superman Returns and X3 did their thing, but most analysts agree that had Pirates of the Carribean not make 450 million bucks, it would've in fact, be just as bad as 2004. So, oh no again, cinema is still in recession.
I'm not gonna talk about why box office receipts are going down, but here's a look at how 2007 is going to be the year that Cinema starts making money again - Big Time.
We have
Transformers - All the men in the world will rally together to make this film the no.1 for 2 to 3 weeks. Cult classic-comic coming alive. What could possibly go wrong? 300 million bucks in the bag.
Spiderman 3 - The first two films were industry records. Both exceeded 400million bucks. And it'll probably battle it out with Pirates 3 for the highest grosser of the year!
Pirates of the Carribean: At World's End - The previous movie was at some point favored to topple Titanic (it didn't, but at least it gave a decent try), so this film is a 400 million dollar lock.
And we've got Stardust and Beowulf and Shrek 3 (another big money kick butt show)
and most importantly, if all else fails... we have...
Fantastic Four: The Rise of the Silver Surfer ( I can imagine the headlines... 'FF4 saves the box office AGAIN"
*
Next year is going to be a good year.
5 Comments:
Rise of the Silver SUrfer!?!?!?!? U sure!?!?!? WOW.
Beowulf looks cool, but i think it'll be abit Kingdom ogf Heaven ish... my army-bigger-than-LOTR-nastier-scenes, and most audiences
wouldn't know wat to make of it.actually thing '300' might do better (biased!).
Didn't mention 2006?
wahooo...bring on 2007!!!!! TMNT!!
oops i made a mistake with the years. it's fixed now.
yeah im rooting for 300 also!..but profits wise you're prolly right .. may not earn as much as the other movie giants
ya i think 300 will be cool. Plus it's also one of my beloved 'digital films'...
but it's due in March, and films in that month generally don't reach blockbuster status... mostly cos no one is on holiday so the kids dont' get out as much.
Think that Harry Potter should be in there somewhere. I also expect Stardust, Rush Hour 3 and Bourne Ultimatum to make some money.
And Ocean's Thirteen. That's good be a good ride :>
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